The Fantasy Truth

 

So now you want to know The Truth about whom you should take this week at Michigan.  I was extremely generous last week, and if you had run the team I told you to, you would have scored a 714.  How many of you beat that score?  Therefore, you only get 3 in each category from now on, but I’ll give you a team worth at least 96 you should not run.

 

The Musts

  1. Matt Kenseth (24.8)—Has an average finish of 7.2 here in 11 races since 2001 with a worst finish of 15th.  He needs a good run too.
  2. Greg Biffle (23.5)—Has won 2 of the last 4 races here and been in the top 5 in 4 of his 7 races here (top 10 in 5 of 7).
  3. Carl Edwards (23.8)—Has finished in the top 10 in all of his 4 career races here.  Has improved his finish each race, and his last race here he was second.

 

Good Bets

  1. Kurt Busch (22.9)—When your boss owns the track, you better be good at it.  Kurt is with 6 of the last 7 in the top 15, including a win.
  2. Kevin Harvick (23.3)—Hottest driver out there now.  5 straight top 5’s coming off of a win.
  3. Kasey Kahne (19.4)—Won easily here in June and has an attractive price.  Hope for a rain-shortened race so he does not have to run the last lap.

 

Sleepers

  1. Scott Riggs (16.6)—Has not run well lately, but fuel mileaged himself to a second-place finish here last August.
  2. Brian Vickers (19.8)—9th best average over the last 5 and runs well on these big tracks.
  3. Reed Sorenson (15.6)—Ran 5th here in June, and he too likes these big tracks.

 

Douches

  1. Junior (20.7) — Underpowered at a big 2-miler plus aero.  Let the suckers who have him locked low hand you 100 points.
  2. Mark Martin (23.7)—Usually I would not put a Roush driver at a Roush track in this column, but since this old man was asked to postpone his retirement yet again, he has driven like an old man.
  3. Dale Jarrett (17.2)—I feel bad putting this dog in the “Duh” column, but Yates is horrible.

 

So now you want to know whom I would run?  Here’s The Truth—

Matt Kenseth (24.8)

Greg Biffle (23.5)

Kasey Kahne (19.4)

Clint Bowyer (16.7)

Reed Sorenson (15.6)

(100 even)

 

Now the Do NOT Run team—

Mark Martin (23.7)

Denny Hamlin (21.0) – Here’s where the walls come crashing down!

Junior (20.7)

Bobby Labonte (17.4)

Dale Jarrett (17.2)

(100 even)

 

Can’t handle it?  Tough shit, it’s THE TRUTH!!!!

 

The Fan